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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-17599357954651000monkeysFlaznorpjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)57% (4474–3357, n=7831)57% (366–276, n=642)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)53% (10–9, n=19)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$94K$3.3M$5.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #889PM monthly #17PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus56% (14 of 25 open)88% (7 of 8 open)66% (271 of 412 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Crypto +34 pts n=473, ROI +52%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%68% of 473 at avg 34¢, ROI +52%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)40% (won 35% of 188)29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)38% (won 87% of 181)16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)20% (won 95% of 94)17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)2% (won 100% of 10)38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-17599357954651000monkeysFlaznorpjoseph00677
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $2.9K—Yes $94K—
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.6K—No $46K—
RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $980—Over $6.0K—
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $436—Bucks $251—
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $270K—No $40K—
Will AEK vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $267K—No $2.0K—
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
No $87K—No $101K—
Will PSV win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $315—No $50K—
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $4.8K—No $40K—
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $25K—Over $17K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
same side · consensus Arthur Fils
Arthur Fils $2.4K—Arthur Fils $5.6K—
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $160—Under $2.5K—
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $248—Under $40—