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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | AppleTiime | fantasy7788 | Flaznorp | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (40–41, n=81) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | 100% (2–0, n=2) | 75% (490–167, n=657) |
| Consensus PnL | -$397K | $7.3K | $245K | $54K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #36 | PM monthly #481 | PM monthly #72 | PM monthly #21 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (5 of 10 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 65% (90 of 139 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | College Football −5 pts, n=37 | — | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 50% of 316 at avg 47¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 2 at avg 51¢, ROI +50% | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 13% (won 20% of 40) | 0% | 34% (won 10% of 30) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 37% (won 45% of 117) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 19% (won 29% of 17) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 49% (won 61% of 156) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 13% (won 55% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 1% (won 67% of 3) | 0% | 34% (won 83% of 30) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | AppleTiime | fantasy7788 | Flaznorp |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Heat (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Heat $52K | — | — | Jazz $198 |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Linda Noskova same side · consensus Linda Noskova | Coco Gauff $16K | — | — | Coco Gauff $21K |
| Heat vs. Jazz same side · consensus Heat | Heat $9.3K | — | — | Heat $551 |
| Ohio vs. Miami (OH) same side · consensus Miami (OH) | Miami (OH) $22 | — | — | Miami (OH) $35 |