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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Bonereaper | BreakTheBank | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4520–3300, n=7820) | 58% (18386–13364, n=31750) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 50% (20849–20545, n=41394) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $541K | $7.9M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #53 | PM monthly #382 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (18 of 25 open) | 100% (5 of 5 open) | 81% (25 of 31 open) | 70% (30 of 43 open) |
| Strongest topics | ||||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 98% of 53543 at avg 67¢, ROI +22% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 4% (won 91% of 2396) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 15% (won 96% of 8279) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 33% (won 98% of 17412) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 48% (won 100% of 25456) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Bonereaper | BreakTheBank | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | — | Yes $56K | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $1.2K | — | Ravens $96K | — |