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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BonereaperprimmUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)57% (4473–3354, n=7827)58% (18428–13454, n=31882)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)50% (19560–19625, n=39185)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$503K$3.5M$3.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #356PM monthly #52PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus67% (12 of 18 open)80% (4 of 5 open)no open consensus position67% (79 of 118 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=127, ROI +37%
  • Crypto +31 pts n=53413, ROI +22%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%98% of 53543 at avg 67¢, ROI +22%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)4% (won 91% of 2396)5% (won 94% of 51)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)15% (won 96% of 8279)41% (won 99% of 405)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)33% (won 98% of 17412)49% (won 99% of 485)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)48% (won 100% of 25456)5% (won 100% of 46)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.