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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | Malfunction- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (37–38, n=75) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | 74% (429–151, n=580) | 98% (57–1, n=58) |
| Consensus PnL | -$380K | $779K | $63K | -$2.0K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #39 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #20 | PM monthly #278 |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (7 of 9 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 71% (127 of 180 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | NBA −3 pts, n=30 |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | 96% of 52 at avg 99¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 34% (won 10% of 30) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 19% (won 29% of 17) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 13% (won 55% of 11) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 34% (won 83% of 30) | 100% (won 96% of 52) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | Malfunction- |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Heat (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Heat $49K | — | Jazz $17 | — |
| CF Trival Valderas vs. CD Leganés: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $11K | — | Under $946 | — |
| Real Madrid CF Femenino vs. Paris FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $34K | — | Under $16K | — |
| Heat vs. Jazz same side · consensus Heat | Heat $9.0K | — | Heat $529 | — |
| CF Trival Valderas vs. CD Leganés: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $8.3K | — | Over $293 | — |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Holger Rune vs Zizou Bergs same side · consensus Holger Rune | Holger Rune $4 | — | Holger Rune $4.8K | — |