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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | marvelousmarvin | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (37–39, n=76) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | 74% (429–151, n=580) | 63% (12–7, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | -$387K | $779K | $57K | $12K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #39 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #20 | PM monthly #415 |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (8 of 10 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 74% (156 of 212 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | 100% of 12 at avg 53¢, ROI +47% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 34% (won 10% of 30) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 19% (won 29% of 17) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 13% (won 55% of 11) | 100% (won 100% of 12) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 34% (won 83% of 30) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | marvelousmarvin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Heat (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Heat $53K | — | Jazz $196 | — |
| CF Trival Valderas vs. CD Leganés: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $12K | — | Under $2.0K | — |
| Will CD Anaitasuna win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus No | No $157K | — | No $11K | — |
| Heat vs. Jazz same side · consensus Heat | Heat $9.4K | — | Heat $558 | — |
| CF Trival Valderas vs. CD Leganés: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $8.4K | — | Over $1.2K | — |