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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Future-Tarot-Trader | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4487–3372, n=7859) | 45% (571–700, n=1271) | 73% (271–98, n=369) | 47% (13369–14864, n=28233) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $9.4M | $326K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #123 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #607 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (10 of 15 open) | 52% (12 of 23 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 56% (76 of 135 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 90% of 410 at avg 74¢, ROI +12% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 11% (won 18% of 45) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 3% (won 86% of 14) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 13% (won 96% of 54) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 72% (won 100% of 297) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Future-Tarot-Trader | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $30K | — | Pelicans $125 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $19K | — | Pelicans $135 |
| Spread: Lakers (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $12K | — | — | Lakers $3 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $323 | — | Pelicans $143 |
| Jazz vs. Pelicans same side · consensus Pelicans | Jazz $774 | Jazz $75K | — | — |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-3.5) same side · consensus Central Michigan | Central Michigan $26K | — | — | Central Michigan $1.1K |
| Spread: Nuggets (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $6.6K | — | — | Raptors $275 |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) same side · consensus Spurs | Spurs $314 | — | — | Spurs $186 |