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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankJabJabichRN1
Record (consensus markets)57% (4474–3357, n=7831)46% (560–667, n=1227)66% (166–85, n=251)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$9.4M$123K$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #2PM monthly #253PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus71% (10 of 14 open)55% (11 of 20 open)41% (12 of 29 open)61% (110 of 180 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%86% of 188 at avg 59¢, ROI +13%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)11% (won 80% of 61)6% (won 82% of 11)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)35% (won 98% of 203)19% (won 81% of 36)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)35% (won 100% of 201)51% (won 84% of 95)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)20% (won 100% of 115)24% (won 96% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankJabJabichRN1
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Gen.G
Gen.G $3.9K—LYON $1.6K—
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $10Under $75
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
same side · consensus Arthur Fils
Arthur Fils $2.4K——Arthur Fils $11K
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $6.7K——Raptors $246
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $248——Under $371
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $194——Over $84
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $10Over $268