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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | THG. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4473–3351, n=7824) | 46% (560–665, n=1225) | 47% (13362–14874, n=28236) | 56% (27453–21618, n=49071) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $11.2M | $14.8M | $25K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #344 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #23 + pinned | was PM monthly #902 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (8 of 11 open) | 48% (10 of 21 open) | 67% (114 of 171 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10333 at avg 85¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 26% (won 99% of 2670) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 0% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 74% (won 100% of 7658) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | THG. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $45K | No $15K | — | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $342 | Yes $16K | — | — |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Maya Joint vs Maria Sakkari same side · consensus Maya Joint | Maya Joint $469 | — | Maya Joint $13K | — |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $185 | — | Over $55 | — |