← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | THG. | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4470–3348, n=7818) | 46% (555–663, n=1218) | 56% (27446–21616, n=49062) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $11.2M | $25K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #344 | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #902 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (6 of 10 open) | 65% (20 of 31 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10333 at avg 85¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 26% (won 99% of 2670) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 0% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 74% (won 100% of 7658) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | THG. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No | No $195 | Yes $261K | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $47K | No $12K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $300 | Yes $14K | — |