← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | lastminwin | Wiretransferxyz | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (58–64, n=122) | 56% (20–16, n=36) | no settled market | 50% (2–2, n=4) |
| Consensus PnL | -$279K | $822K | $0 | -$21K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #328 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (4 of 7 open) | 33% (2 of 6 open) | 50% (3 of 6 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 73% of 15 at avg 46¢, ROI +39% | 59% of 495 at avg 53¢, ROI +8% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 33% (won 20% of 5) | 6% (won 17% of 29) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 20% (won 100% of 3) | 35% (won 46% of 171) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 20% (won 100% of 3) | 47% (won 66% of 233) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 27% (won 100% of 4) | 13% (won 89% of 62) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | lastminwin | Wiretransferxyz |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane | Josh Hokit $181K | Ciryl Gane $316K | — | — |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B same side · consensus Spirit | Spirit $878 | — | — | Spirit $28K |