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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | ppku6298 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4527–3305, n=7832) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 42% (106–144, n=250) | 50% (1105–1117, n=2222) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $7.9M | $47K | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #267 | PM monthly #49 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (20 of 28 open) | 85% (28 of 33 open) | no open consensus position | 56% (5 of 9 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 88% of 120 at avg 49¢, ROI +39% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 3% (won 100% of 3) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1743) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 63% (won 85% of 75) | 41% (won 99% of 412) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2080) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 34% (won 90% of 41) | 50% (won 99% of 503) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2114) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | ppku6298 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $53K | — | — |
| Jaguars vs. Ravens same side · consensus Jaguars | Ravens $46K | Ravens $298K | — | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $30K | Ravens $192K | — | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $45 | No $74K | — | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-8.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $16K | Ravens $287 | — | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $2.4K | — | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-5.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $2.8K | — | Ravens $750 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-6.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $1.4K | — | Ravens $4 |