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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpG.Hchenkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)48% (59–65, n=124)75% (730–246, n=976)100% (1–0, n=1)44% (189–239, n=428)
Consensus PnL-$301K$71K-$1.2K$44K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #14PM monthly #611PM monthly #43
Sides with the consensus57% (4 of 7 open)67% (52 of 78 open)43% (3 of 7 open)64% (7 of 11 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40——
Settled positions, side won97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%50% of 2 at avg 31¢, ROI −20%100% of 134 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)34% (won 10% of 30)50% (won 0% of 1)5% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 94% of 17)19% (won 29% of 17)0%38% (won 100% of 51)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 33)13% (won 55% of 11)50% (won 100% of 1)50% (won 100% of 67)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 16)34% (won 83% of 30)0%7% (won 100% of 9)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpG.Hchenkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Hersonissos 3: Robin Bertrand vs Henry Searle
opposite sides · consensus Henry Searle
Robin Bertrand $510Henry Searle $3.1K—Robin Bertrand $356
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
MOUZ $77KG2 $3——
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Tabilo
opposite sides · consensus Lorenzo Sonego
—Lorenzo Sonego $816—Alejandro Tabilo $7.7K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
—Alexander Shevchenko $550—Casper Ruud $5.2K
WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
opposite sides · consensus Elina Svitolina
—Karolina Muchova $2.4K—Elina Svitolina $463
South East Melbourne Phoenix vs. Illawarra Hawks: O/U 199.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $500—Under $9
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
same side · consensus Spirit
Spirit $72KSpirit $42——
Big Bash League, Women: Perth Scorchers vs Sydney Thunder
same side · consensus Sydney Thunder
—Sydney Thunder $23—Sydney Thunder $44