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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpHaradwaithprimm
Record (consensus markets)58% (4520–3295, n=7815)52% (6506–6010, n=12516)39% (3405–5226, n=8631)50% (1105–1118, n=2223)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.3M-$465K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #67PM monthly #24PM monthly #275PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus50% (3 of 6 open)73% (162 of 222 open)62% (1514 of 2461 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +3 pts n=10, ROI +20%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Weather −6 pts, n=556—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%39% of 3845 at avg 42¢, ROI −2%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 465)53% (won 3% of 2055)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 255)4% (won 35% of 170)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)16% (won 62% of 260)5% (won 54% of 178)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)39% (won 94% of 637)38% (won 89% of 1442)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpHaradwaithprimm
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech
opposite sides · consensus Ben Shelton
Arthur Rinderknech $2Ben Shelton $4.2K——
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $128—Yes $6—
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $37—Yes $13—