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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpRN1SharkbettingCom
Record (consensus markets)47% (62–70, n=132)75% (743–249, n=992)66% (480–244, n=724)no settled market
Consensus PnL-$493K$70K-$148K$0
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #14PM monthly #45 + pinnedPM monthly #703
Sides with the consensus43% (3 of 7 open)70% (95 of 136 open)80% (4 of 5 open)50% (2 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +35 pts n=17, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36%52% of 211 at avg 50¢, ROI +3%100% of 206 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%—
Entries under 30¢3% (won 50% of 2)31% (won 9% of 66)6% (won 100% of 12)—
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 95% of 19)27% (won 45% of 56)13% (won 100% of 26)—
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 100% of 33)13% (won 68% of 28)30% (won 100% of 62)—
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 100% of 18)29% (won 97% of 61)51% (won 100% of 106)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpRN1SharkbettingCom
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FK Austria Wien: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $6.2K—Under $11
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FK Austria Wien end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.8K—Yes $2.3K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-11?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $222—No $1.7K
Sopo: Polona Hercog vs Carole Monnet
opposite sides · consensus Polona Hercog
—Carole Monnet $356Polona Hercog $1.1K—
Sopo: Tatjana Maria vs Alice Tubello
same side · consensus Tatjana Maria
—Tatjana Maria $977Tatjana Maria $11K—
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Albany Great Danes
same side · consensus Dartmouth Big Green
Dartmouth Big Green $1.9KDartmouth Big Green $415——
Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston
same side · consensus Hugo Gaston
—Hugo Gaston $749Hugo Gaston $2—
Lima: Santiago De La Fuente vs Max Alcala Gurri
same side · consensus Max Alcala Gurri
—Max Alcala Gurri $146Max Alcala Gurri $544—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
Vikings $90Vikings $6——