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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpgoogleplayJabJabich
Record (consensus markets)49% (38–40, n=78)74% (431–152, n=583)40% (2–3, n=5)20% (1–4, n=5)
Consensus PnL-$384K$56K$391K-$8.7K
Tracked asPM monthly #39PM monthly #21PM monthly #15PM monthly #131
Sides with the consensus45% (5 of 11 open)70% (128 of 182 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +32 pts n=50, ROI +31%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=21Soccer −8 pts, n=40——
Settled positions, side won63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30%100% of 1 at avg 60¢, ROI −15%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 11% of 287)34% (won 10% of 30)0%0%
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 50% of 452)19% (won 29% of 17)19% (won 70% of 10)0%
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 68% of 546)13% (won 55% of 11)76% (won 85% of 41)100% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 93% of 588)34% (won 83% of 30)6% (won 100% of 3)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpgoogleplayJabJabich
Spread: Heat (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Heat $52KJazz $203——
Lima: Elmer Moeller vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
opposite sides · consensus Elmer Moeller
Elmer Moeller $3.9KGenaro Alberto Olivieri $3.6K——
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 0 - 0 FK Austria Wien?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.6K—Yes $434
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FK Austria Wien end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $498—Yes $738
Heat vs. Jazz
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $9.3KHeat $551——
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $4Under $521——