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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpjodarkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)47% (62–70, n=132)75% (741–246, n=987)20% (1–4, n=5)45% (196–244, n=440)
Consensus PnL-$493K$70K-$7.9K$6.7K
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #14PM monthly #667PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus44% (4 of 9 open)67% (86 of 129 open)no open consensus position73% (11 of 15 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40——
Settled positions, side won97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 1 at avg 37¢, ROI +63%100% of 134 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)34% (won 10% of 30)0%5% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 94% of 17)19% (won 29% of 17)100% (won 100% of 1)38% (won 100% of 51)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 33)13% (won 55% of 11)0%50% (won 100% of 67)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 16)34% (won 83% of 30)0%7% (won 100% of 9)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpjodarkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Monastir: Kilian Feldbausch vs Tiago Pereira
opposite sides · consensus Tiago Pereira
Kilian Feldbausch $124KKilian Feldbausch $3.6K—Tiago Pereira $5.1K
Spread: Magic (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Magic $58K——Jazz $5.8K
Spread: Lakers (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Bucks $641—Lakers $9.5K
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Bucks $367—Lakers $3.3K
W35 Heraklion: Anna Petkovic vs Tina Nadine Smith
opposite sides · consensus Anna Petkovic
—Anna Petkovic $752—Tina Nadine Smith $2.5K
WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
opposite sides · consensus Elina Svitolina
—Karolina Muchova $2.3K—Elina Svitolina $447
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Albany Great Danes
same side · consensus Dartmouth Big Green
Dartmouth Big Green $2.0KDartmouth Big Green $419——
M25 San Gregorio di Catania: Maxence Bertimon vs Eric Vanshelboim
same side · consensus Eric Vanshelboim
—Eric Vanshelboim $99—Eric Vanshelboim $100
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
Vikings $93Vikings $6——