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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpjoseph00677nehcnehc
Record (consensus markets)58% (4536–3322, n=7858)52% (6451–6050, n=12501)45% (10–12, n=22)61% (4134–2660, n=6794)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.6M$5.3M-$721K
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #10PM monthly #2PM monthly #706
Sides with the consensus55% (12 of 22 open)72% (126 of 174 open)no open consensus position80% (4 of 5 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—Politics −7 pts, n=125
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%63% of 9038 at avg 63¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)1% (won 18% of 92)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)26% (won 44% of 2309)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)40% (won 55% of 3623)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 87% of 3014)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpjoseph00677nehcnehc
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11KUnder $254——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8KNo $494——
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $53K——Yes $4.0K
Oxford City FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $11KOver $36——
Will Wolfsberger AC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
Yes $4.4KYes $40——