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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighNOO-Yes
Record (consensus markets)47% (62–70, n=132)75% (743–249, n=992)45% (198–245, n=443)43% (3–4, n=7)
Consensus PnL-$493K$70K$10K$33K
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #14PM monthly #47was PM monthly #853
Sides with the consensus43% (3 of 7 open)70% (92 of 132 open)77% (10 of 13 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +35 pts n=17, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36%52% of 211 at avg 50¢, ROI +3%100% of 136 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%57% of 7 at avg 45¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 50% of 2)31% (won 9% of 66)6% (won 100% of 8)29% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 95% of 19)27% (won 45% of 56)38% (won 100% of 51)29% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 100% of 33)13% (won 68% of 28)50% (won 100% of 68)29% (won 50% of 2)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 100% of 18)29% (won 97% of 61)7% (won 100% of 9)14% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighNOO-Yes
Spread: Magic (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Magic $55K—Jazz $5.9K—
Spread: Lakers (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Bucks $641Lakers $9.5K—
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Bucks $351Lakers $3.4K—
WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
opposite sides · consensus Elina Svitolina
—Karolina Muchova $2.3KElina Svitolina $447—
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FK Austria Wien end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.8K—Yes $851
Monastir: Aziz Dougaz vs Alejandro Moro Canas
opposite sides · consensus Alejandro Moro Canas
—Alejandro Moro Canas $1.2KAziz Dougaz $75—
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Albany Great Danes
same side · consensus Dartmouth Big Green
Dartmouth Big Green $1.9KDartmouth Big Green $415——
Spread: Thunder (-1.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $10Trail Blazers $350—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
Vikings $90Vikings $6——