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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpprimmuehehe7haha2hihia3jkst9
Record (consensus markets)58% (4536–3326, n=7862)52% (6434–6029, n=12463)50% (1116–1127, n=2243)43% (103–138, n=241)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.6M$3.6M$31K
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #11PM monthly #52PM monthly #680
Sides with the consensus58% (14 of 24 open)75% (173 of 230 open)0% (0 of 1 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—Soccer −3 pts, n=205
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%42% of 208 at avg 45¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)47% (won 4% of 98)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 418)12% (won 25% of 24)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)16% (won 62% of 260)49% (won 99% of 504)5% (won 70% of 10)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 47)37% (won 93% of 76)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpprimmuehehe7haha2hihia3jkst9
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $13KUnder $238——
Will Wolfsberger AC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $4.8KNo $1.8K——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.9KNo $494——
Bristol Rovers FC vs. Cambridge United FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $5.2KUnder $943——
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz
same side · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz $143KCarlos Alcaraz $4.3K——
Oxford City FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $12KOver $830——
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $1.7KNo $3.4K——