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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | HomeRunHazard | juice-fruit | pvc975 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (67–71, n=138) | 55% (201–167, n=368) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | 100% (118–0, n=118) |
| Consensus PnL | -$415K | $227K | $152K | $738 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #31 | PM monthly #464 |
| Sides with the consensus | 46% (6 of 13 open) | 68% (85 of 125 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 48 at avg 59¢, ROI +40% | 98% of 65 at avg 98¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 50% of 2) | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 2% (won 100% of 1) | 2% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 95% of 19) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 25% (won 100% of 12) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 100% of 33) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 44% (won 100% of 21) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 100% of 18) | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 29% (won 100% of 14) | 98% (won 100% of 64) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | HomeRunHazard | juice-fruit | pvc975 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Knicks (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $4.1K | Knicks $9.7K | — | — |
| Magic vs. Jazz opposite sides · consensus Magic | Jazz $3.4K | Magic $6.2K | — | — |
| Spread: Magic (-4.5) same side · consensus Jazz | Magic $56K | Magic $6.5K | — | — |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Vikings | Vikings $95 | Vikings $5.7K | — | — |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers same side · consensus Thunder | Thunder $188 | Thunder $2.5K | — | — |