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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | RN1 | TheWindKnowsmyName | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4539–3322, n=7861) | 48% (14232–15729, n=29961) | 67% (181–90, n=271) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $14.8M | -$102K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #31 + pinned | was PM monthly #953 |
| Sides with the consensus | 61% (11 of 18 open) | 52% (16 of 31 open) | 49% (115 of 236 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 90% of 186 at avg 69¢, ROI +27% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) | 12% (won 36% of 22) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1743) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) | 14% (won 92% of 26) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2080) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) | 12% (won 96% of 23) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2114) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) | 62% (won 99% of 115) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | RN1 | TheWindKnowsmyName |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $53K | — | No $1.1K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $53 | — | Yes $2.1K |