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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | RN1 | TheWindKnowsmyName | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4536–3325, n=7861) | 52% (6434–6029, n=12463) | 48% (14146–15606, n=29752) | 67% (183–91, n=274) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $3.6M | $14.8M | -$109K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #30 + pinned | was PM monthly #953 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (14 of 22 open) | 72% (139 of 194 open) | 61% (30 of 49 open) | 45% (103 of 230 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 90% of 186 at avg 69¢, ROI +27% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) | 12% (won 36% of 22) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1746) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) | 14% (won 92% of 26) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2085) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) | 12% (won 96% of 23) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2120) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) | 62% (won 99% of 115) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
16 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | RN1 | TheWindKnowsmyName |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $53K | — | — | No $1.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | Over $1.6K | — |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $13K | Under $238 | — | — |
| Will FC UTA Arad win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $13K | Yes $229 | — |
| Will Wolfsberger AC win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5.2K | No $1.8K | — | — |
| Bristol Rovers FC vs. Cambridge United FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $5.5K | Under $936 | — | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5.9K | No $494 | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | Yes $1.9K | — |
| Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sumit Nagal opposite sides · consensus Sumit Nagal | — | Kilian Feldbausch $191 | Sumit Nagal $4.1K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $600 | Over $3.3K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | Yes $7 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $476 | Under $1.3K | — |
| Exact Score: FC UTA Arad 0 - 1 FC Petrolul Ploieşti? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $915 | No $212 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $471 | No $529 | — |
| W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz | — | Diletta Cherubini $287 | Ipek Oz $680 | — |
| FC UTA Arad vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $347 | Under $481 | — |
| FC UTA Arad vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $422 | Under $75 | — |
| Charlottesville: Max Hans Rehberg vs Aidan Mayo opposite sides · consensus Aidan Mayo | — | Aidan Mayo $160 | Max Hans Rehberg $232 | — |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $31 | No $12 | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | No $2.5K | — |
| Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.4K | No $12K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $55 | — | — | Yes $2.0K |
| FC UTA Arad vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.6K | Under $228 | — |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | — |
| Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Zsombor Piros same side · consensus Zsombor Piros | — | Zsombor Piros $420 | Zsombor Piros $960 | — |
| Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.1K | Under $2 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $702 | Under $20 | — |
| Sariyer SK leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | No $530 | No $135 | — |
| Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Lucrezia Stefanini same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova | — | Anastasia Zakharova $198 | Anastasia Zakharova $314 | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-15.5) same side · consensus Kings | — | Kings $361 | Kings $111 | — |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $139 | Yes $192 | — |
| Taranto: Francesco Maestrelli vs Carlo Alberto Caniato same side · consensus Carlo Alberto Caniato | — | Carlo Alberto Caniato $11 | Carlo Alberto Caniato $304 | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $177 | Under $42 | — |
| Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $87 | Under $22 | — |