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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | akroll | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4535–3309, n=7844) | 27% (424–1166, n=1590) | 50% (1105–1116, n=2221) | 47% (14165–15679, n=29844) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.0M | $38K | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #113 | PM monthly #48 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (17 of 27 open) | 59% (13 of 22 open) | 62% (8 of 13 open) | 54% (54 of 100 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | Elections −1 pts, n=186 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1% | 46% of 566 at avg 48¢, ROI +12% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 47% (won 2% of 268) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1743) | 5% (won 43% of 28) | 41% (won 99% of 412) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2080) | 7% (won 59% of 37) | 50% (won 99% of 503) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2114) | 41% (won 96% of 233) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | akroll | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars vs. Ravens opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | Ravens $36K | — | — | Jaguars $7.6K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $29K | — | — | Jaguars $1.6K |
| Spread: UTSA (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic | UTSA $4.0K | — | — | Florida Atlantic $762 |
| Spread: James Madison (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss | — | — | James Madison $2.2K | Southern Miss $434 |
| UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 71.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.5K | Over $888 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | — | Ravens $4 | Jaguars $2.4K |
| UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.8K | Over $231 |
| Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 30.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $640 | Over $1.1K |
| Spread: UTSA (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic | — | — | Florida Atlantic $1.1K | UTSA $242 |
| James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $698 | Under $469 |
| James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 57.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $599 | Over $458 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | — | Ravens $510 | Jaguars $180 |
| UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic same side · consensus Florida Atlantic | — | — | Florida Atlantic $24K | Florida Atlantic $14K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-8.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $15K | — | — | Ravens $1.2K |
| Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $54 | — | — | Over $9 |