Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465analdesutructorFlaznorpjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)58% (4521–3297, n=7818)80% (203–50, n=253)52% (6520–6024, n=12544)45% (10–12, n=22)
Consensus PnL$7.8M-$60K$3.5M$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #68PM monthly #557PM monthly #23PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus68% (15 of 22 open)100% (2 of 2 open)69% (286 of 413 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NFL +47 pts n=30, ROI +49%
  • Esports +51 pts n=13, ROI +52%
  • MLB +33 pts n=55, ROI +32%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%99% of 196 at avg 61¢, ROI +38%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)6% (won 100% of 11)29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)30% (won 97% of 59)16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)24% (won 100% of 48)16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)40% (won 100% of 78)39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465analdesutructorFlaznorpjoseph00677
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.2K—No $7.2K—
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $6.4K—Under $49—
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.1KNo $29K—
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $25K—Under $3.0K—
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $773—No $22K—
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $10—Yes $19K—
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $29—No $11K—
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $161—No $3.3K—
Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua
same side · consensus Renata Zarazua
Julia Riera $870—Julia Riera $2.0K—