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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465auros2primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4535–3309, n=7844)100% (4–0, n=4)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)47% (14165–15679, n=29844)
Consensus PnL$8.0M$4.4K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #248PM monthly #49PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus67% (18 of 27 open)57% (114 of 200 open)50% (4 of 8 open)59% (40 of 68 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%—99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)—5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)—41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)—50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)—5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465auros2primmRN1
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $84KYes $174——
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $45K——Jaguars $3.9K
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $29K——Jaguars $1.2K
Spread: James Madison (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss
——James Madison $2.2KSouthern Miss $245
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Ravens $4Jaguars $2.0K
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.8KOver $112
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.2KNo $550——
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $698Under $419
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 57.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $599Over $413
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $30No $34——
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $15K——Ravens $876