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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | bands1 | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | robustmst | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (47–59, n=106) | 18% (2–9, n=11) | 43% (158–208, n=366) | 42% (13–18, n=31) |
| Consensus PnL | -$550K | -$41K | $54K | $208K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #133 | PM monthly #42 | PM monthly #29 |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (8 of 10 open) | no open consensus position | 68% (30 of 44 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | NFL −1 pts, n=116 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 50% of 451 at avg 49¢, ROI −1% | 100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47% | 82% of 55 at avg 47¢, ROI +32% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 10% (won 22% of 46) | 6% (won 100% of 9) | 2% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 36% (won 49% of 162) | 42% (won 100% of 63) | 65% (won 78% of 36) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 45% (won 52% of 203) | 40% (won 100% of 61) | 29% (won 94% of 16) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 9% (won 73% of 40) | 12% (won 100% of 18) | 4% (won 50% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | bands1 | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | robustmst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Thunder (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | Thunder $2.0K | — | Trail Blazers $20K | — |
| Spread: Magic (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $6.9K | — | Magic $4.4K | — |
| Spread: Magic (-11.5) same side · consensus Kings | Kings $12K | — | Kings $1.7K | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $278 | — | Trail Blazers $594 | — |