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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4CUTJALENHURTSRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4542–3331, n=7873)no settled market52% (5577–5163, n=10740)47% (14227–15735, n=29962)
Consensus PnL$7.7M—$498K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #10—PM monthly #124PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus53% (20 of 38 open)no open consensus position76% (91 of 120 open)56% (85 of 151 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136—MLB −1 pts, n=747—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%—54% of 10537 at avg 51¢, ROI +3%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)—13% (won 18% of 1390)10% (won 57% of 2588)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)—36% (won 46% of 3759)22% (won 94% of 5673)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)—35% (won 61% of 3645)35% (won 99% of 9163)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)—17% (won 86% of 1743)33% (won 100% of 8536)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4CUTJALENHURTSRN1
Celtics vs. Hornets
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Hornets $604—Celtics $113—
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Bucks $265——Raptors $38
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
Bucks $11——Raptors $190
LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus T1
T1 $368K—T1 $37K—
LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 - Game 4 Winner
same side · consensus T1
T1 $208K—T1 $24K—
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
same side · consensus No
No $177K—No $41K—
Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?
same side · consensus No
No $95K—No $32K—
LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 - Game 3 Winner
same side · consensus Karmine Corp
T1 $79K—T1 $11K—
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $13K—No $4.6K—
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $12K——Grizzlies $101
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.5K—Yes $2.2K—
Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $514——Under $12
Spread: East Carolina (-4.5)
same side · consensus South Florida
South Florida $24——South Florida $113