Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4joseph00677LightParadox
Record (consensus markets)57% (4473–3354, n=7827)no settled market53% (10–9, n=19)52% (814–760, n=1574)
Consensus PnL$8.9M—$5.6M$70K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344—PM monthly #1PM monthly #219
Sides with the consensus72% (18 of 25 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position56% (88 of 156 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%—59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 498 at avg 70¢, ROI +34%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)—12% (won 0% of 2)7% (won 100% of 35)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)—6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 100% of 101)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)—65% (won 73% of 11)17% (won 100% of 86)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)—18% (won 67% of 3)55% (won 100% of 276)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4joseph00677LightParadox
Will AEK vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $268K——Yes $70
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $192K——No $22K
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti
opposite sides · consensus Alexander Zverev
Alexander Zverev $96K——Lorenzo Musetti $3.1K
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $18K——Under $2
Bratislava 2: Martin Damm vs Tom Gentzsch
opposite sides · consensus Tom Gentzsch
Martin Damm $5.3K——Tom Gentzsch $4.1K
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $415K——No $31K
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
No $86K——No $12K
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $24K——Over $5.0K
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $11K——No $2.4K
Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet
same side · consensus Laura Samson
Laura Samson $5.4K——Laura Samson $1.8K
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Liverpool FC
Liverpool FC $4.4K——Liverpool FC $2
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $155——Under $174