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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4mildwindow27primm
Record (consensus markets)58% (4518–3301, n=7819)no settled market36% (5208–9153, n=14361)50% (1105–1117, n=2222)
Consensus PnL$7.9M—-$144K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #65—PM monthly #318PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus69% (18 of 26 open)no open consensus position73% (74 of 102 open)100% (4 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
not computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Weather −4 pts, n=1229—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%—42% of 4985 at avg 45¢, ROI −2%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)—54% (won 1% of 2673)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)—2% (won 43% of 124)41% (won 99% of 412)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)—4% (won 55% of 214)50% (won 99% of 503)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)—40% (won 96% of 1974)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4mildwindow27primm
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $2.8K—No $123—
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $868—No $548—
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $547—
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $13K—No $274—