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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465biying88888googleplayrobustmst
Record (consensus markets)44% (47–59, n=106)44% (61–78, n=139)43% (3–4, n=7)42% (13–18, n=31)
Consensus PnL-$550K-$4.7K$353K$208K
Tracked asPM monthly #11was PM monthly #997PM monthly #18PM monthly #29
Sides with the consensus83% (10 of 12 open)57% (12 of 21 open)0% (0 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +32 pts n=50, ROI +31%
  • Tennis +40 pts n=29, ROI +35%
  • Soccer +47 pts n=11, ROI +39%
  • NBA +13 pts n=15, ROI +22%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=21———
Settled positions, side won63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%—83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30%82% of 55 at avg 47¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 11% of 287)—0%2% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 50% of 452)—19% (won 70% of 10)65% (won 78% of 36)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 68% of 546)—76% (won 85% of 41)29% (won 94% of 16)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 93% of 588)—6% (won 100% of 3)4% (won 50% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465biying88888googleplayrobustmst
Spread: Magic (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Magic $117KMagic $711Kings $22K—
Spread: Thunder (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Thunder $1.6KTrail Blazers $42——
Spread: Magic (-11.5)
same side · consensus Kings
Kings $11KKings $548——
Spread: Magic (-7.5)
same side · consensus Kings
Kings $6.9KKings $15——