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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465dabossrealmanFlaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)58% (4539–3322, n=7861)68% (1165–545, n=1710)52% (6618–6146, n=12764)50% (1116–1129, n=2245)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$182K$3.6M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #487PM monthly #10PM monthly #54
Sides with the consensus59% (13 of 22 open)no open consensus position76% (125 of 164 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
  • Esports +34 pts n=1351, ROI +14%
  • MLB +25 pts n=72, ROI +3%
  • NHL +7 pts n=283, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%94% of 1707 at avg 65¢, ROI +6%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)4% (won 65% of 75)29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)17% (won 88% of 289)16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 412)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)35% (won 96% of 593)16% (won 62% of 260)50% (won 99% of 503)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)44% (won 98% of 750)39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465dabossrealmanFlaznorpprimm
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari
opposite sides · consensus Maria Sakkari
Aliaksandra Sasnovich $281—Maria Sakkari $12K—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11K—Under $254—
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Polina Kudermetova
opposite sides · consensus Janice Tjen
Polina Kudermetova $3.9K—Janice Tjen $4.8K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8K—No $494—
Oxford City FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $11K—Over $36—