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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ifyouloveme
Record (consensus markets)58% (4518–3301, n=7819)55% (312–258, n=570)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$68K
Tracked asPM monthly #65PM monthly #296
Sides with the consensus69% (18 of 26 open)66% (43 of 65 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tech +12 pts n=91, ROI +9%
  • Politics +8 pts n=32, ROI +3%
  • NFL +3 pts n=46, ROI −1%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Geopolitics ±0 pts, n=86
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%51% of 495 at avg 48¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)38% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 51% of 77)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)16% (won 59% of 79)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)31% (won 91% of 152)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ifyouloveme
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $45Yes $1.5K
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $28No $711
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
same side · consensus No
No $172KNo $2.3K
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $52KYes $603