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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677ndb1omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)57% (4473–3351, n=7824)53% (10–9, n=19)65% (886–468, n=1354)50% (15059–15076, n=30135)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$5.6M$4.2M$3.0M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #1PM monthly #147PM monthly #54
Sides with the consensus64% (9 of 14 open)no open consensus position74% (34 of 46 open)54% (105 of 193 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 168)8% (won 60% of 874)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 87% of 2384)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 58% of 314)38% (won 95% of 4296)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 99% of 3716)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677ndb1omnibus-076daa
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $161K——No $11
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $14K——Yes $26
Rolex Paris Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Alex de Minaur
opposite sides · consensus Tomas Etcheverry
Tomas Etcheverry $13K——Alex de Minaur $1.3K
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $45K——Yes $2.1K
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz
same side · consensus Taylor Fritz
Alex Molcan $11K——Alex Molcan $43
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $342——Yes $1.6K
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $1.1K——No $106
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $353——Over $106