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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | kaxel78 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4520–3300, n=7820) | 28% (413–1049, n=1462) | 63% (989–572, n=1561) | 48% (14109–15586, n=29695) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $48K | $3.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #53 | PM monthly #69 | PM monthly #104 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (16 of 27 open) | 54% (14 of 26 open) | 72% (68 of 95 open) | 65% (96 of 147 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | Elections −1 pts, n=175 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 48% of 595 at avg 48¢, ROI +14% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 47% (won 2% of 281) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 5% (won 54% of 28) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 4% (won 54% of 24) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 44% (won 95% of 262) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | kaxel78 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus KKS Lech Poznań | KKS Lech Poznań $58K | — | — | Sport Lisboa e Benfica $16K |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $21K | — | — | No $14K |
| K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $12K | — | — | Under $6 |
| Bratislava 2: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Kimmer Coppejans opposite sides · consensus Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | Kimmer Coppejans $11 | — | — | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer $8.4K |
| FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $5.6K | — | — | Under $8 |
| Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $204 | — | — | Yes $12 |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $206K | — | — | Yes $19K |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $93K | — | — | No $27K |
| Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $43K | — | — | No $20K |
| Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $38 | — | — | No $166 |
| Will Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $49 | — | — | No $79 |
| Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5) same side · consensus PFK CSKA Sofia | PFK CSKA Sofia $17 | — | — | PFK CSKA Sofia $43 |