Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465keeptheblueflagflyinghighNM-Pprimm
Record (consensus markets)47% (59–66, n=125)45% (192–239, n=431)47% (33–37, n=70)63% (19–11, n=30)
Consensus PnL-$292K$36K-$3.2K$22K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #43PM monthly #528PM monthly #70
Sides with the consensus57% (4 of 7 open)53% (9 of 17 open)82% (14 of 17 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
  • NBA +52 pts n=15, ROI +50%
  • NFL +50 pts n=13, ROI +49%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%100% of 134 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%100% of 31 at avg 53¢, ROI +46%100% of 20 at avg 51¢, ROI +48%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)5% (won 100% of 7)6% (won 100% of 2)5% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 94% of 17)38% (won 100% of 51)55% (won 100% of 17)35% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 33)50% (won 100% of 67)19% (won 100% of 6)55% (won 100% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 16)7% (won 100% of 9)19% (won 100% of 6)5% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465keeptheblueflagflyinghighNM-Pprimm
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
MOUZ $94KG2 $902——
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
—Casper Ruud $5.2KAlexander Shevchenko $343—
Hersonissos 3: Felix Gill vs Massimo Giunta
opposite sides · consensus Felix Gill
—Massimo Giunta $459Felix Gill $869—
Brisbane 3: Alafia Ayeni vs Alex Bolt
same side · consensus Alex Bolt
Alafia Ayeni $26KAlafia Ayeni $34K——
WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
same side · consensus Elina Svitolina
—Elina Svitolina $463Elina Svitolina $343—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
Vikings $90—Vikings $166—