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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465keeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1WagerWizard
Record (consensus markets)49% (37–38, n=75)43% (119–158, n=277)69% (309–142, n=451)80% (12–3, n=15)
Consensus PnL-$380K$224K-$38K-$316
Tracked asPM monthly #38PM monthly #29PM monthly #35 + pinnedwas PM monthly #1000
Sides with the consensus50% (3 of 6 open)64% (16 of 25 open)46% (6 of 13 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=21———
Settled positions, side won63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%—
Entries under 30¢15% (won 11% of 287)6% (won 100% of 9)1% (won 100% of 3)—
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 50% of 452)42% (won 100% of 63)26% (won 100% of 62)—
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 68% of 546)40% (won 100% of 61)40% (won 100% of 95)—
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 93% of 588)12% (won 100% of 18)33% (won 100% of 80)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465keeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1WagerWizard
Spread: Heat (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Heat $49KJazz $18K——
Knoxville: Alastair Gray vs Darwin Blanch
opposite sides · consensus Alastair Gray
—Darwin Blanch $1.9KAlastair Gray $243—
Lima: Daniel Rincon vs Santiago De La Fuente
same side · consensus Daniel Rincon
—Daniel Rincon $17KDaniel Rincon $15K—