Resolution Proposed
A resolution has been proposed and is in the challenge window. Awaiting UMA oracle settlement.
Knoxville: Alastair Gray vs Darwin Blanch
17 of 22 top Polymarket traders hold Alastair Gray (77%) · Alastair Gray at 100¢ · $34K held · awaiting resolution
⏳
Pending
22
Alastair Gray 77%
1 arb excluded
$33.8K
$1.7K
Smart Money Signal
17 of 22 top traders (77%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LI Limousin | Alastair Grayavg 87.6¢ | $16.2K | $17.2K | +$963.64 | 25% 213-654 (867) |
LI LightParadox | Alastair Grayavg 49¢ | $4.5K | $6.1K | +$2.7K | 25% 214-643 (857) |
FL Flaznorp | Alastair Grayavg 88¢ | $2.3K | $2.7K | +$316.01 | 50% 1408-1410 (2818) |
TH thirdt1me | Alastair Grayavg 70.7¢ | $2.1K | $1.6K | +$596.49 | 37% 70-118 (188) |
38 38791873984189 | Alastair Grayavg 80.8¢ | $1.9K | $1.4K | +$68.54 | 48% 859-937 (1796) |
PA Paul973973 | Alastair Grayavg 98.5¢ | $1.2K | $1.2K | +$17.88 | 26% 23-64 (87) |
 VeryLucky888 | Alastair Grayavg 29¢ | $377.78 | $872.86 | +$495.08 | 49% 231-239 (470) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR | Darwin Blanchavg 17.4¢ | $3.9K | $807.3 | $-3.1K | 54% 1625-1379 (3004) |
MA MadridTime | Alastair Grayavg 96¢ | $563.97 | $444.67 | -$65.9 | 25% 215-633 (848) |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR | Darwin Blanchavg 68¢ | $608.35 | $295.07 | -$313.28 | 37% 191-330 (521) |
 RN1 | Alastair Grayavg 28¢ | $127.43 | $284.73 | +$157.3 | 58% 3757-2710 (6467) |
BA babybells | Alastair Grayavg 61.8¢ | $262.6 | $266.13 | +$99.23 | 18% 78-366 (444) |
 0xheavy888 | Alastair Grayavg 29¢ | $87.94 | $203.11 | +$115.17 | 55% 106-86 (192) |
EU EulhunterCTR | Darwin Blanchavg 36¢ | $164.43 | $168.4 | +$3.97 | 52% 62-58 (120) |
TH thestingsnakeARB<$100 | Darwin Blanchavg 24.9¢ | $511.86 | $119.58 | -$342.6 | 18% 72-338 (410) |
| └ Alastair Gray leg | Alastair Grayavg 82.5¢ | $74.96 | $88.97 | +$0.86 | |
| └ Darwin Blanch leg | Darwin Blanchavg 24.9¢ | $372.51 | $30.61 | -$343.46 | |
SU suitcase6628<$100 | Alastair Grayavg 96.5¢ | $57.25 | $59.32 | +$2.07 | 63% 152-88 (240) |
 machinelearnedCTR<$100 | Darwin Blanchavg 31.8¢ | $64.81 | $52.53 | -$12.28 | 35% 335-614 (949) |
PA Pan9X<$100 | Alastair Grayavg 29¢ | $9.57 | $22.11 | +$12.54 | 48% 421-450 (871) |
BI BillBenter2026<$100 | Alastair Grayavg 78.5¢ | $17.28 | $21.99 | +$4.71 | 14% 73-461 (534) |
PA pauleta23<$100 | Alastair Grayavg 53¢ | $14.84 | $20.58 | +$5.74 | 22% 118-423 (541) |
AM ameisgoat11<$100 | Alastair Grayavg 32¢ | $1.6 | $3.25 | +$1.65 | 24% 157-504 (661) |
FL flatbarrel<$100 | Alastair Grayavg 73¢ | $54.75 | $1.29 | +$0.01 | 5% 20-373 (393) |
VE VenusianCTR | Darwin Blanchavg 16.1¢ | $291.29 | $0.91 | -$290.39 | 25% 213-654 (867) |
Invested
$16,191.47
Value
$17.2K
PnL
+$963.64
Record
25%
213-654 (867)
Invested
$4,494.48
Value
$6.1K
PnL
+$2.7K
Record
25%
214-643 (857)
Invested
$2,335.9
Value
$2.7K
PnL
+$316.01
Record
50%
1408-1410 (2818)
Invested
$2,064.34
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$596.49
Record
37%
70-118 (188)
Invested
$1,854.54
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$68.54
Record
48%
859-937 (1796)
Invested
$1,200
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$17.88
Record
26%
23-64 (87)
VeryLucky888Invested
$377.78
Value
$872.86
PnL
+$495.08
Record
49%
231-239 (470)
Invested
$3,945.79
Value
$807.3
PnL
$-3.1K
Record
54%
1625-1379 (3004)
Invested
$563.97
Value
$444.67
PnL
-$65.9
Record
25%
215-633 (848)
Invested
$608.35
Value
$295.07
PnL
-$313.28
Record
37%
191-330 (521)
RN1Invested
$127.43
Value
$284.73
PnL
+$157.3
Record
58%
3757-2710 (6467)
Invested
$262.6
Value
$266.13
PnL
+$99.23
Record
18%
78-366 (444)
0xheavy888Invested
$87.94
Value
$203.11
PnL
+$115.17
Record
55%
106-86 (192)
Invested
$164.43
Value
$168.4
PnL
+$3.97
Record
52%
62-58 (120)
Invested
$511.86
Value
$119.58
PnL
-$342.6
Record
18%
72-338 (410)
Both legs:
Invested
$57.25
Value
$59.32
PnL
+$2.07
Record
63%
152-88 (240)
machinelearnedCTR<$100Invested
$64.81
Value
$52.53
PnL
-$12.28
Record
35%
335-614 (949)
Invested
$9.57
Value
$22.11
PnL
+$12.54
Record
48%
421-450 (871)
Invested
$17.28
Value
$21.99
PnL
+$4.71
Record
14%
73-461 (534)
Invested
$14.84
Value
$20.58
PnL
+$5.74
Record
22%
118-423 (541)
Invested
$1.6
Value
$3.25
PnL
+$1.65
Record
24%
157-504 (661)
Invested
$54.75
Value
$1.29
PnL
+$0.01
Record
5%
20-373 (393)
Invested
$291.29
Value
$0.91
PnL
-$290.39
Record
25%
213-654 (867)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Limousin
Alastair Gray — $17.2K
LightParadox
Alastair Gray — $6.1K
Flaznorp
Alastair Gray — $2.7K
thirdt1me
Alastair Gray — $1.6K
38791873984189
Alastair Gray — $1.4K
Paul973973
Alastair Gray — $1.2K
VeryLucky888
Alastair Gray — $872.86
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
CTRDarwin Blanch — $807.3
MadridTime
Alastair Gray — $444.67
omnibus-076daa
CTRDarwin Blanch — $295.07