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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465keeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1yong32
Record (consensus markets)47% (59–66, n=125)45% (192–239, n=431)66% (476–241, n=717)50% (1–1, n=2)
Consensus PnL-$292K$36K-$145K$12K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #43PM monthly #44 + pinnedPM monthly #249
Sides with the consensus63% (5 of 8 open)63% (10 of 16 open)33% (2 of 6 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%100% of 134 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%100% of 205 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%75% of 4 at avg 55¢, ROI −12%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)5% (won 100% of 7)6% (won 100% of 12)25% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 94% of 17)38% (won 100% of 51)13% (won 100% of 26)0%
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 33)50% (won 100% of 67)30% (won 100% of 62)50% (won 50% of 2)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 16)7% (won 100% of 9)51% (won 100% of 105)25% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465keeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1yong32
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
MOUZ $191KG2 $1.5K——
W35 Heraklion: Giorgia Pedone vs Marianna Argyrokastriti
opposite sides · consensus Marianna Argyrokastriti
—Marianna Argyrokastriti $419Giorgia Pedone $873—
W35 Heraklion: Elena Ruxandra Bertea vs Teodora Miron
opposite sides · consensus Elena Ruxandra Bertea
—Elena Ruxandra Bertea $410Teodora Miron $602—
W35 Heraklion: Giulia Safina Popa vs Maria Golovina
opposite sides · consensus Giulia Safina Popa
—Maria Golovina $102Giulia Safina Popa $405—
Brisbane 3: Alafia Ayeni vs Alex Bolt
same side · consensus Alex Bolt
Alafia Ayeni $32K—Alafia Ayeni $15K—
Hersonissos 3: Felix Gill vs Massimo Giunta
same side · consensus Massimo Giunta
—Massimo Giunta $11KMassimo Giunta $749—
Hersonissos 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Johannus Monday
same side · consensus Francesco Maestrelli
—Johannus Monday $402Johannus Monday $1.1K—