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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | rayvanmechelen | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4521–3296, n=7817) | 53% (2452–2175, n=4627) | 48% (14128–15613, n=29741) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $16K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #67 | was PM monthly #981 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (6 of 11 open) | 65% (48 of 74 open) | 59% (17 of 29 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 98% of 988 at avg 56¢, ROI +45% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 2% (won 95% of 22) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 32% (won 98% of 321) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 51% (won 98% of 507) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 14% (won 98% of 138) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | rayvanmechelen | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Rinky Hijikata vs Tomas Etcheverry opposite sides · consensus Rinky Hijikata | Tomas Etcheverry $26K | Rinky Hijikata $8 | — |
| Magic vs. Suns opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $15K | Suns $10 | — |
| Taranto: Philip Henning vs Carlo Alberto Caniato same side · consensus Philip Henning | Philip Henning $1.6K | — | Philip Henning $3.5K |