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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | rayvanmechelen | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4535–3309, n=7844) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 53% (2478–2218, n=4696) | 47% (14165–15679, n=29844) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.0M | $7.9M | $12K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #981 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (18 of 27 open) | 84% (27 of 32 open) | 56% (30 of 54 open) | 57% (38 of 67 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 98% of 1031 at avg 56¢, ROI +45% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 2% (won 96% of 24) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1743) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 32% (won 98% of 333) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2080) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 51% (won 98% of 527) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2114) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 14% (won 97% of 147) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | rayvanmechelen | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars vs. Ravens opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | Ravens $45K | Ravens $292K | — | Jaguars $3.9K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $29K | Ravens $194K | — | Jaguars $1.2K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-8.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $15K | Ravens $293 | — | Ravens $876 |
| Magic vs. Suns opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $137K | — | Suns $10 | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $92K | — | Jaguars $211 |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $55K | — | — |
| Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Franco Roncadelli opposite sides · consensus Thiago Seyboth Wild | — | — | Franco Roncadelli $2 | Thiago Seyboth Wild $20K |
| Charlottesville: Andres Andrade vs James Kent Trotter opposite sides · consensus James Kent Trotter | — | — | Andres Andrade $14 | James Kent Trotter $10K |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5.8K | — | No $307 | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $837 | — | Jaguars $2.0K |
| Spread: Warriors (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Warriors | — | — | Heat $3 | Warriors $110 |
| Will Cancun FC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $10 | Yes $10 |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $45 | No $72K | — | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $2.4K | — | — |
| East Texas A&M Lions vs. Rice Owls same side · consensus East Texas A&M Lions | East Texas A&M Lions $4.4K | — | East Texas A&M Lions $10 | — |
| Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $1 | Over $10 |