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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorprayvanmechelenRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4512–3287, n=7799)52% (6434–5955, n=12389)53% (2440–2135, n=4575)47% (13877–15390, n=29267)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.3M$20K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #71PM monthly #24was PM monthly #981PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus77% (17 of 22 open)74% (147 of 200 open)64% (41 of 64 open)54% (15 of 28 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +42 pts n=907, ROI +45%
  • NBA +50 pts n=19, ROI +50%
  • Tennis +47 pts n=19, ROI +42%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%98% of 988 at avg 56¢, ROI +45%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 423)2% (won 95% of 22)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 243)32% (won 98% of 321)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)17% (won 62% of 255)51% (won 98% of 507)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)38% (won 94% of 561)14% (won 98% of 138)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

33 on the same side, 30 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorprayvanmechelenRN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
Quentin Halys $13KQuentin Halys $861Quentin Halys $10Quentin Halys $1.3K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Zeynep Sonmez
opposite sides · consensus Zeynep Sonmez
—Zeynep Sonmez $7.2KMika Stojsavljevic $10Zeynep Sonmez $21K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8KYes $2.6KNo $307—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Xinyu Wang vs Antonia Ruzic
same side · consensus Antonia Ruzic
Antonia Ruzic $12KAntonia Ruzic $25K—Antonia Ruzic $80K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Elena Pridankina vs Alexandra Shubladze
same side · consensus Alexandra Shubladze
Alexandra Shubladze $9.1KAlexandra Shubladze $15K—Alexandra Shubladze $38K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $14K—Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.1K—Over $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Spread: Machida Zelvia (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Shanghai Shenhua FC
—Shanghai Shenhua FC $772Machida Zelvia $972—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $754—Yes $375
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466—No $529
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $831—Yes $61
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $280Yes $173—
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $342Yes $9—
RC Celta de Vigo vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $283Over $9—
Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $194Under $2—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $14—Under $181
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $183Under $10—
Will FK Kharkiv win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $93Yes $77—
Will Kitchee win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $148No $10—
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus CD Pamplona
—CD Pamplona $127SD Eibar $6—
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $103Over $2—
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $97No $8—
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $74Under $16—
FC København vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $68Under $14—
SD Amorebieta vs. UD Logroñés: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $49Under $9—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7—Over $28
Aarhus GF vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $20Over $12—
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Tiphanie Lemaitre
opposite sides · consensus Justina Mikulskyte
—Justina Mikulskyte $2Tiphanie Lemaitre $10—
Club Portugalete vs. Real Unión Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $7Under $3—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro
same side · consensus Harold Mayot
—Sho Shimabukuro $6.6K—Sho Shimabukuro $4.0K
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.2KNo $21—
Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $983No $989—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9—Over $1.5K
FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.5KOver $9—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $102—Under $1.1K
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.2KNo $11—
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $893No $80—
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $875No $10—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Sydney FC
—Sydney FC $696Sydney FC $10—
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $514Over $10—
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $460No $15—
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $442No $9—
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche
same side · consensus Lorenzo Musetti
—Lorenzo Musetti $429Lorenzo Musetti $10—