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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (402–586, n=988) | 67% (43–21, n=64) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 50% (1041–1060, n=2101) |
| Consensus PnL | $24K | $6.1M | $11.0M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #403 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #69 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (68 of 93 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 69% (79 of 114 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Soccer −3 pts, n=104 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1801 at avg 63¢, ROI +3% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 955 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 35% (won 2% of 622) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 5% (won 94% of 50) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 44% of 45) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 41% (won 99% of 392) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 67% of 55) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 49% (won 99% of 469) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 60% (won 99% of 1079) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 5% (won 100% of 44) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $2 | — | Yes $36K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $98 | — | No $42K | — |
| Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $43 | — | No $2.5K | — |