← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-1759470981616 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (2612–3500, n=6112) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) | 53% (10–9, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | $92K | $9.4M | $3.3M | $5.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #509 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #17 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 48% (16 of 33 open) | 60% (15 of 25 open) | 65% (275 of 422 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Mentions ±0 pts, n=938 | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 37% of 3270 at avg 37¢, ROI −3% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 54% (won 3% of 1758) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 14% (won 43% of 464) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 62% of 143) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 97% of 905) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-1759470981616 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $327K | Yes $133K | — |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $64K | Yes $117K | — |
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | No $651K | No $40K | — |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | No $3.2K | No $46K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-11.5) same side · consensus Celtics | — | Celtics $6.9K | Celtics $215 | — |