← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-1759470981616 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | omnibus-076daa | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (2740–3660, n=6400) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 63% (987–572, n=1559) | 50% (15433–15507, n=30940) |
| Consensus PnL | $95K | $5.3M | $3.2M | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #502 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #103 | PM monthly #60 |
| Sides with the consensus | 52% (33 of 64 open) | no open consensus position | 75% (101 of 135 open) | 55% (86 of 155 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Mentions ±0 pts, n=938 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 37% of 3270 at avg 37¢, ROI −3% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 54% (won 3% of 1758) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 8% (won 60% of 874) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 14% (won 43% of 464) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 21% (won 87% of 2384) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 62% of 143) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 38% (won 95% of 4296) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 97% of 905) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 99% of 3716) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-1759470981616 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | omnibus-076daa |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? opposite sides · consensus No | No $417 | — | Yes $345 | — |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $4 | — | No $12 | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $11K | Yes $3 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $5.6K | — | — | Yes $2.3K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $341 | — | — | Yes $556 |