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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x3fd0190eb137e335db080b9855f90c86849f0022RN1sainttroplayprimm
Record (consensus markets)70% (150–63, n=213)48% (12930–14106, n=27036)71% (10–4, n=14)50% (986–968, n=1954)
Consensus PnL-$54K$13.4M$4.4M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #823PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus64% (9 of 14 open)33% (4 of 12 open)no open consensus position63% (5 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicGeopolitics −2 pts, n=116———
Settled positions, side won83% of 212 at avg 83¢, ROI −1%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 24% of 25)10% (won 56% of 2534)0%5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢4% (won 22% of 9)22% (won 94% of 5497)50% (won 100% of 5)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢0% (won 100% of 1)36% (won 99% of 8897)50% (won 100% of 5)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up83% (won 94% of 177)31% (won 100% of 7736)0%5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x3fd0190eb137e335db080b9855f90c86849f0022RN1sainttroplayprimm
Spread: Eagles (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Commanders $2.1K—Eagles $858
Spread: Commanders (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Commanders $2.3K—Eagles $3
Spread: Commanders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Commanders $23—Eagles $412
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $766—Under $1.5K