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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x3mf379C47E653dafa153841a995Cf975B6a02fxdBreakTheBankbeachboy4RN1
Record (consensus markets)71% (303–122, n=425)45% (537–650, n=1187)68% (43–20, n=63)48% (12930–14106, n=27036)
Consensus PnL-$81K$10.6M$5.8M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #611PM monthly #1was PM monthly #24PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (6 of 6 open)85% (53 of 62 open)100% (2 of 2 open)50% (6 of 12 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicNFL −3 pts, n=104—NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won64% of 466 at avg 63¢, ROI −3%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 20% of 66)10% (won 85% of 53)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 32% of 104)36% (won 98% of 192)29% (won 56% of 62)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 66% of 93)35% (won 99% of 187)54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up44% (won 93% of 203)20% (won 100% of 107)14% (won 86% of 29)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x3mf379C47E653dafa153841a995Cf975B6a02fxdBreakTheBankbeachboy4RN1
Eagles vs. Commanders
same side · consensus Commanders
—Commanders $1.1M—Commanders $28K
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4.0KYes $15K——