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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | surfandturf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 70% (20018–8704, n=28722) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 61% (398–250, n=648) | 52% (301–278, n=579) |
| Consensus PnL | $171K | $11.0M | $216K | -$62K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #961 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #96 | was PM monthly #326 |
| Sides with the consensus | 25% (1 of 4 open) | 69% (77 of 112 open) | no open consensus position | 18% (2 of 11 open) |
| Strongest topics | ||||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NFL −7 pts, n=75 |
| Settled positions, side won | 87% of 14751 at avg 60¢, ROI +34% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 401 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 53% of 599 at avg 52¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 30% of 1066) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 21% (won 14% of 123) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 85% of 2830) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 56% (won 99% of 224) | 23% (won 48% of 136) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 43% (won 93% of 6293) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 33% (won 100% of 134) | 32% (won 59% of 193) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 92% of 4562) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 25% (won 81% of 147) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | surfandturf |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $4.3K | — | No $29K |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $726 | — | Yes $5.8K |