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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CORGIIndb1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)26% (5245–14798, n=20043)62% (397–248, n=645)66% (875–457, n=1332)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$88K$194K$4.1M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #812PM monthly #104PM monthly #22was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus65% (228 of 353 open)100% (1 of 1 open)72% (91 of 127 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topic——NFL −10 pts, n=132—
Settled positions, side won97% of 1561 at avg 65¢, ROI +30%99% of 401 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 78% of 153)9% (won 92% of 36)13% (won 16% of 160)0%
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 98% of 269)56% (won 99% of 224)20% (won 39% of 252)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 100% of 416)33% (won 100% of 134)24% (won 57% of 306)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up46% (won 100% of 723)2% (won 100% of 7)43% (won 93% of 540)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CORGIIndb1sainttroplay
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $11—No $1.4M—
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.2K—No $43—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $153—Yes $2.9M—
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $37—Yes $559K—
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $74—No $54K—
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
same side · consensus No
Yes $112—Yes $422—