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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319 | BreakTheBank | primm | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (3671–2839, n=6510) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 47% (1430–1597, n=3027) | 75% (2552–856, n=3408) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.2M | $8.4M | $3.7M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #30 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #41 | PM monthly #66 |
| Sides with the consensus | 85% (11 of 13 open) | 88% (29 of 33 open) | no open consensus position | 0% (0 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Entertainment −2 pts, n=32 | — | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 5769 at avg 56¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 9% (won 19% of 519) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 5% (won 95% of 59) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 34% (won 43% of 1945) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 40% (won 99% of 512) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 53% of 2104) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 50% (won 100% of 633) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 21% (won 95% of 1201) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 5% (won 100% of 65) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319 | BreakTheBank | primm | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $17K | No $37K | — | — |